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ICE to Invest $2B in Polymarket, Betting on Prediction Markets
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, announced plans to invest up to $2 billion in Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction market platform. The deal values Polymarket at about $8 billion pre-money and positions ICE to become the global distributor of the platform’s event-driven data. Under the agreement, ICE and Polymarket…
08 октября 2025
112 views
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Morgan Stanley to Open Crypto Trading on E*Trade in 2026
Morgan Stanley has announced it will allow its E*Trade clients to trade cryptocurrencies—initially Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Solana (SOL)—starting in the first half of 2026. This move will be made possible through a partnership with Zerohash, which will handle liquidity, custody, and settlement infrastructure. Previously, the bank restricted crypto access to only a subset…
07 октября 2025
127 views
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50 bps RBNZ Risk: NZD/USD Targets and Key Levels
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) meets on October 8, with markets split over the scale of the anticipated rate cut. Current pricing implies a 55.5% probability of a 25-basis-point reduction and a 44.5% chance of a 50-basis-point move, reflecting growing uncertainty around the central bank’s inflation and growth outlook. Scenario Analysis If the…
06 октября 2025
111 views
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Which U.S. Data Releases Are at Risk from the Shutdown?
The U.S. dollar faced renewed pressure this week as the federal government entered its first shutdown in nearly seven years, disrupting key economic reporting schedules and injecting fresh uncertainty into markets. Immediate Impact The shutdown — expected to last at least three days — means traders should not expect the September Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report…
03 октября 2025
110 views
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Can Gold Break the $4,000 Barrier This Month?
Gold is inching closer to the psychological $4,000 level, after touching $3,890 per ounce earlier this week. The rally remains one of the strongest among major assets, driven by a combination of macro uncertainty and safe-haven demand. Fundamental Drivers Two factors have fueled the latest surge: A surprise drop in U.S. private employment, signaling renewed…
02 октября 2025
120 views
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Bitcoin Builds Early “Uptober” Support Base
Bitcoin started the new month on a strong note, rising $3,236 (2.9%) to trade near $114,350. The move could mark the establishment of an early support floor for the anticipated “Uptober” rally, as buyers continue to defend key technical zones. Technical Structure BTC/USD remains above its 100-day exponential moving average, which has served as dynamic…
01 октября 2025
108 views
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Positioning for a U.S. Government Shutdown: Gold, Nasdaq 100, EUR/USD
The clock is ticking as Congress races to avert a government shutdown on October 1. The last major shutdown during President Trump’s first term lasted 34 days, and markets are now bracing for renewed fiscal turmoil. A lapse in funding could undermine global confidence in the U.S. dollar, disrupt the release of key economic data,…
30 сентября 2025
117 views
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Анализ рынка
Critical U.S. Jobs Data in Focus This Week
The labor market will dominate attention this week, with payrolls, unemployment, and wage growth all key to shaping the Federal Reserve’s next policy steps. Stronger figures could revive demand for the dollar, while weaker data may reinforce expectations for further easing. Nonfarm Payrolls Economists project September NFP at 39K, up from August’s 22K but still…
29 сентября 2025
121 views
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Fed Speakers and Data Guide Market Moves
The U.S. dollar eased slightly from recent highs as traders adjusted positions ahead of key economic data. Gains earlier in the week were fueled by Federal Reserve officials’ cautious tone, with policymakers reluctant to endorse aggressive near-term cuts. Today’s jobless claims report could be pivotal as markets look ahead to next Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls. Dollar…
26 сентября 2025
115 views
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“Uptober” Hopes Tested as Bitcoin and Ethereum Slide
Crypto markets pulled back on Friday, with Ethereum underperforming Bitcoin after months of relative strength. ETH dropped about 6.5%, while BTC slid around 3.8%, signaling a pause in the bullish momentum seen earlier in the quarter. Seasonality Factor Historically, September tends to be a weak month for cryptocurrencies, often followed by a recovery known as…
26 сентября 2025
125 views
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Анализ рынка
BoC Signals Two-Way Trading in USDCAD
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem praised Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for navigating a difficult environment but also expressed concern over political pressure on the Fed from President Trump. Macklem’s comments suggest the BoC could pursue a more independent stance, instead of closely shadowing U.S. policy. Implications for USDCAD This independence could open the…
24 сентября 2025
116 views
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Supreme Court Case Adds Fuel to Gold Rally
Gold has surged nearly $410 in the past four weeks, touching ~$3,750 today after another $60 gain. The metal continues to shine as one of the strongest-performing assets, supported by political risk, doubts over central bank independence, and powerful technical momentum. Political Risk Driver The U.S. Supreme Court has scheduled arguments for December on whether…
23 сентября 2025
119 views
