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Hot news
Can Gold Break the $4,000 Barrier This Month?
Gold is inching closer to the psychological $4,000 level, after touching $3,890 per ounce earlier this week. The rally remains one of the strongest among major assets, driven by a combination of macro uncertainty and safe-haven demand. Fundamental Drivers Two factors have fueled the latest surge: A surprise drop in U.S. private employment, signaling renewed…
02 October 2025
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Bitcoin Builds Early “Uptober” Support Base
Bitcoin started the new month on a strong note, rising $3,236 (2.9%) to trade near $114,350. The move could mark the establishment of an early support floor for the anticipated “Uptober” rally, as buyers continue to defend key technical zones. Technical Structure BTC/USD remains above its 100-day exponential moving average, which has served as dynamic…
01 October 2025
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Positioning for a U.S. Government Shutdown: Gold, Nasdaq 100, EUR/USD
The clock is ticking as Congress races to avert a government shutdown on October 1. The last major shutdown during President Trump’s first term lasted 34 days, and markets are now bracing for renewed fiscal turmoil. A lapse in funding could undermine global confidence in the U.S. dollar, disrupt the release of key economic data,…
30 September 2025
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“Uptober” Hopes Tested as Bitcoin and Ethereum Slide
Crypto markets pulled back on Friday, with Ethereum underperforming Bitcoin after months of relative strength. ETH dropped about 6.5%, while BTC slid around 3.8%, signaling a pause in the bullish momentum seen earlier in the quarter. Seasonality Factor Historically, September tends to be a weak month for cryptocurrencies, often followed by a recovery known as…
26 September 2025
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Peso Faces Key Test Ahead of Banxico Decision
The Mexican peso is consolidating after USD/MXN rebounded from multi-week lows near 18.20. On the daily chart, the pair bounced off the lower Bollinger Band and is now pressing into the 18.40–18.45 zone, which coincides with the upper boundary of the short-term descending channel that has defined September’s selloff. Technical Levels in Play Break above…
22 September 2025
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Dot Plot Divide: Dollar Gains, Gold Stalls
The dollar strengthened after a volatile reaction to the Federal Reserve’s latest decision. USD/JPY initially spiked lower on the back of a 25 basis point rate cut, but quickly reversed as the Fed’s updated dot plot came in less dovish than markets had anticipated. FOMC Outlook The dot plot revealed a split: a narrow majority…
19 September 2025
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FOMC Doves Take the Lead After Latest Cut
The Federal Reserve delivered a 25-basis-point rate cut today, signaling that two additional reductions are likely before the end of the year. The decision underscored growing dovish momentum inside the FOMC, with only one dissent. Policy Divide Newly appointed Governor Stephen Miran pushed for a larger 50-basis-point cut, but his call was not backed by…
18 September 2025
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Euro Holds Firm Despite France’s Credit Downgrade
The euro remained resilient even after Fitch downgraded France’s credit rating, citing rising debt, political polarization, and fiscal risks. French bond spreads widened against German bunds, highlighting investor caution. In response, new Prime Minister Lecornu scrapped a controversial plan to abolish two public holidays but stressed that fresh budget cuts remain necessary. U.S. Outlook Attention…
16 September 2025
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Countdown to the Fed’s Most Anticipated Decision
Markets are bracing for the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting, with overwhelming consensus pointing to a 25-basis-point cut that would bring rates to the 4.00–4.25% range. A Reuters survey found 105 of 107 economists expecting this outcome. Potential Dissenters The decision may not be unanimous. FOMC members Austan Goolsbee and Jeff Schmid have signaled they…
15 September 2025
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Forex Pricing Tied to TikTok Trade Talks
U.S.–China trade negotiations are in focus this week, and one of the most contentious issues could be how TikTok is separated from Chinese government and corporate interests. The outcome may heavily influence market sentiment toward the broader U.S.–China relationship, creating ripple effects across global risk assets. Impact on Currencies Commodity-linked and China-sensitive currencies, particularly the…
15 September 2025
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Dollar Regains Ground but Still Set for Weekly Loss
The U.S. dollar inched higher on Friday, with the dollar index up 0.1% to 97.66, though it remains on track for a second straight weekly decline. Markets continue to weigh labor market cracks against sticky inflation, keeping focus firmly on the Federal Reserve’s rate decision next week. Labor Market and Inflation Data Thursday’s report showed…
12 September 2025
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Dollar Slips as NFP Fallout Boosts Fed Cut Bets
The U.S. dollar extended losses, with the dollar index falling to a seven-week low, as markets remained focused on last Friday’s disappointing Non-Farm Payrolls report. Despite a stronger-than-expected NFIB small business optimism survey, traders continue to price in aggressive Federal Reserve easing. CME data now shows an implied probability above 100% for a rate cut…
10 September 2025
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