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Bitcoin Builds Early “Uptober” Support Base
Bitcoin started the new month on a strong note, rising $3,236 (2.9%) to trade near $114,350. The move could mark the establishment of an early support floor for the anticipated “Uptober” rally, as buyers continue to defend key technical zones. Technical Structure BTC/USD remains above its 100-day exponential moving average, which has served as dynamic…
01 октября 2025
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Positioning for a U.S. Government Shutdown: Gold, Nasdaq 100, EUR/USD
The clock is ticking as Congress races to avert a government shutdown on October 1. The last major shutdown during President Trump’s first term lasted 34 days, and markets are now bracing for renewed fiscal turmoil. A lapse in funding could undermine global confidence in the U.S. dollar, disrupt the release of key economic data,…
30 сентября 2025
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Critical U.S. Jobs Data in Focus This Week
The labor market will dominate attention this week, with payrolls, unemployment, and wage growth all key to shaping the Federal Reserve’s next policy steps. Stronger figures could revive demand for the dollar, while weaker data may reinforce expectations for further easing. Nonfarm Payrolls Economists project September NFP at 39K, up from August’s 22K but still…
29 сентября 2025
22 views
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Fed Speakers and Data Guide Market Moves
The U.S. dollar eased slightly from recent highs as traders adjusted positions ahead of key economic data. Gains earlier in the week were fueled by Federal Reserve officials’ cautious tone, with policymakers reluctant to endorse aggressive near-term cuts. Today’s jobless claims report could be pivotal as markets look ahead to next Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls. Dollar…
26 сентября 2025
21 views
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“Uptober” Hopes Tested as Bitcoin and Ethereum Slide
Crypto markets pulled back on Friday, with Ethereum underperforming Bitcoin after months of relative strength. ETH dropped about 6.5%, while BTC slid around 3.8%, signaling a pause in the bullish momentum seen earlier in the quarter. Seasonality Factor Historically, September tends to be a weak month for cryptocurrencies, often followed by a recovery known as…
26 сентября 2025
24 views
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BoC Signals Two-Way Trading in USDCAD
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem praised Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for navigating a difficult environment but also expressed concern over political pressure on the Fed from President Trump. Macklem’s comments suggest the BoC could pursue a more independent stance, instead of closely shadowing U.S. policy. Implications for USDCAD This independence could open the…
24 сентября 2025
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Supreme Court Case Adds Fuel to Gold Rally
Gold has surged nearly $410 in the past four weeks, touching ~$3,750 today after another $60 gain. The metal continues to shine as one of the strongest-performing assets, supported by political risk, doubts over central bank independence, and powerful technical momentum. Political Risk Driver The U.S. Supreme Court has scheduled arguments for December on whether…
23 сентября 2025
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Peso Faces Key Test Ahead of Banxico Decision
The Mexican peso is consolidating after USD/MXN rebounded from multi-week lows near 18.20. On the daily chart, the pair bounced off the lower Bollinger Band and is now pressing into the 18.40–18.45 zone, which coincides with the upper boundary of the short-term descending channel that has defined September’s selloff. Technical Levels in Play Break above…
22 сентября 2025
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Dot Plot Divide: Dollar Gains, Gold Stalls
The dollar strengthened after a volatile reaction to the Federal Reserve’s latest decision. USD/JPY initially spiked lower on the back of a 25 basis point rate cut, but quickly reversed as the Fed’s updated dot plot came in less dovish than markets had anticipated. FOMC Outlook The dot plot revealed a split: a narrow majority…
19 сентября 2025
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FOMC Doves Take the Lead After Latest Cut
The Federal Reserve delivered a 25-basis-point rate cut today, signaling that two additional reductions are likely before the end of the year. The decision underscored growing dovish momentum inside the FOMC, with only one dissent. Policy Divide Newly appointed Governor Stephen Miran pushed for a larger 50-basis-point cut, but his call was not backed by…
18 сентября 2025
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Euro Holds Firm Despite France’s Credit Downgrade
The euro remained resilient even after Fitch downgraded France’s credit rating, citing rising debt, political polarization, and fiscal risks. French bond spreads widened against German bunds, highlighting investor caution. In response, new Prime Minister Lecornu scrapped a controversial plan to abolish two public holidays but stressed that fresh budget cuts remain necessary. U.S. Outlook Attention…
16 сентября 2025
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Countdown to the Fed’s Most Anticipated Decision
Markets are bracing for the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting, with overwhelming consensus pointing to a 25-basis-point cut that would bring rates to the 4.00–4.25% range. A Reuters survey found 105 of 107 economists expecting this outcome. Potential Dissenters The decision may not be unanimous. FOMC members Austan Goolsbee and Jeff Schmid have signaled they…
15 сентября 2025
34 views
