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Countdown to the Fed’s Most Anticipated Decision
Markets are bracing for the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting, with overwhelming consensus pointing to a 25-basis-point cut that would bring rates to the 4.00–4.25% range. A Reuters survey found 105 of 107 economists expecting this outcome. Potential Dissenters The decision may not be unanimous. FOMC members Austan Goolsbee and Jeff Schmid have signaled they…
15 сентября 2025
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Forex Pricing Tied to TikTok Trade Talks
U.S.–China trade negotiations are in focus this week, and one of the most contentious issues could be how TikTok is separated from Chinese government and corporate interests. The outcome may heavily influence market sentiment toward the broader U.S.–China relationship, creating ripple effects across global risk assets. Impact on Currencies Commodity-linked and China-sensitive currencies, particularly the…
15 сентября 2025
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Dollar Regains Ground but Still Set for Weekly Loss
The U.S. dollar inched higher on Friday, with the dollar index up 0.1% to 97.66, though it remains on track for a second straight weekly decline. Markets continue to weigh labor market cracks against sticky inflation, keeping focus firmly on the Federal Reserve’s rate decision next week. Labor Market and Inflation Data Thursday’s report showed…
12 сентября 2025
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Dollar Slips as NFP Fallout Boosts Fed Cut Bets
The U.S. dollar extended losses, with the dollar index falling to a seven-week low, as markets remained focused on last Friday’s disappointing Non-Farm Payrolls report. Despite a stronger-than-expected NFIB small business optimism survey, traders continue to price in aggressive Federal Reserve easing. CME data now shows an implied probability above 100% for a rate cut…
10 сентября 2025
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Political Turmoil in Japan Fuels Yen Volatility
The Japanese yen reversed sharply lower on Friday, with markets seemingly pricing in political instability before the weekend’s shock announcement. Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba resigned following mounting pressure within his party to take responsibility for a historic election defeat earlier this year. His resignation opens the door to a leadership contest just as Japan faces…
08 сентября 2025
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Fed Rate Cut Odds Surge to 97% Ahead of Jobs Data
Markets are sharply pricing in a Federal Reserve rate cut, with CME Group’s FedWatch tool now assigning a 97% probability of a cut at the Fed’s upcoming meeting in two weeks. The surge in expectations comes ahead of Friday’s crucial U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. ADP Data Sets the Tone This week’s ADP private…
05 сентября 2025
132 views
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Ethereum Takes the Lead: Why ETH Is Outshining Bitcoin
Ethereum has clearly taken the lead in the crypto market, outperforming Bitcoin both in returns and in sentiment. While BTC climbed to a new high near $125,000, the move lacked strong momentum. Ethereum, in contrast, posted double-digit gains and broke past its 2021 peak to set fresh all-time highs near $4,950. Key reasons for Ethereum’s…
03 сентября 2025
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Bitcoin in Bullish Consolidation Ahead of Fresh Highs
Bitcoin is currently in a consolidation phase following a sharp run-up to a new all-time high of ≈ $124,000 in mid‑August. Prices have since pulled back and are trading in a range roughly between $104,000 and $114,000. Key Drivers & Recent Catalysts Fed Rate‑Cut Expectations: Markets are responding to growing expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve…
01 сентября 2025
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Bitcoin Faces NFP Test Amid Concerns Over Data Integrity
Bitcoin’s recent rally on dovish Federal Reserve signals proved short-lived, with the price slipping back to the $112,000 region after Jerome Powell hinted at a likely September rate cut. Traders are now shifting their attention to next week’s U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, a release that could have major implications for Fed policy expectations—and for…
29 августа 2025
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Could Manipulated NFP Data Hit Bitcoin?
Bitcoin rallied last Friday after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled a potential interest rate cut in September. However, those gains have since faded, with BTC now back near $112,000—its price before Powell’s remarks. The market’s attention is now turning to the upcoming U.S. Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, which could significantly impact interest rate expectations….
29 августа 2025
137 views
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Crypto Traders Brace for CPI as Bitcoin and Ethereum Hover at Critical Levels
All eyes are on the upcoming U.S. CPI release, a data point that could set the tone for risk sentiment across global markets. For digital assets, the stakes are particularly high: a stronger-than-expected inflation print may weigh on Bitcoin and Ethereum, while a softer reading could spark another leg higher. Ethereum Holds Key Support…
12 августа 2025
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Citi Sees Gold Surging Toward Record Highs Amid Economic Uncertainty
Citi has sharply revised its short-term outlook for gold, lifting its three-month price target to $3,500–$3,600 per ounce, compared with its earlier projection of $3,300. The bank’s bullish call reflects mounting risks in the U.S. economy and persistent questions about the Federal Reserve’s policy trajectory. Drivers Behind the Upgrade The decision comes as U.S. data…
06 августа 2025
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